The forecast was right for one day
A 99% forecast interval of my own, broken on day six — and why the number to read in the ERCOT queue is not the one everyone is quoting.
Essays from the people building Sentinel. Mostly about decisions in heavy industry where the technically right answer and the commercially right answer are not the same, and what happens depending on who is in the room.
Every piece has a number in it we can defend, or an incident one of us was there for. No customer is named. Roughly every two weeks.
A 99% forecast interval of my own, broken on day six — and why the number to read in the ERCOT queue is not the one everyone is quoting.